Economy
IMF raises China growth forecast to 5% for 2025, citing resilience
China’s economy is projected to grow by 5 per cent in 2025 before slowing to 4.5 per cent in 2026, the International Monetary Fund said on Wednesday, offering a slightly more upbeat outlook underscoring its view of the country’s resilience despite persistent trade frictions.
The annual assessment released on Wednesday showed an upwards revision of 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points from the IMF’s October forecast, as the world’s second-largest economy rolled out stimulus measures and faced...
China’s consumer prices rise at fastest pace in nearly 2 years in November
China’s consumer prices rose for a second straight month in November, with inflation hitting its highest level in nearly two years, in a tentative sign that the country’s persistent deflationary pressure may be starting to ease.
The national consumer price index (CPI), a major gauge of inflation, rose 0.7 per cent year on year last month, the largest increase recorded since early 2024, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics on Wednesday.
The reading was slightly above...
European firms need to abandon overreliance on China and US, chamber report warns
A new report recommends European companies avoid an overreliance on China or the US in their supply chains, as companies find themselves squeezed between Beijing’s preferential policies for local companies and Washington’s trade volatility.
The European Union Chamber of Commerce in China advised companies to “eliminate single-source dependencies on both China and the United States where possible” in its “Dealing with Supply Chain Dependencies” report released on Wednesday.
“We are probably only...
China’s Guangdong targets doubling GDP by 2035 despite slowing growth
Guangdong, China’s largest provincial economy, has vowed to double its economy by 2035 from 2022 levels, in line with the central government’s target of becoming a medium-level developed country by that year.
“Looking ahead, from the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party (in 2022) to 2035, Guangdong aims to achieve socialist modernisation and build a modern, new Guangdong within 13 years,” provincial authorities said in their five-year plan proposals released on Monday.
“By that time,...
US-China tech thaw? Trump clears Nvidia H200 exports – why the green light matters
US President Donald Trump’s green light for Nvidia to sell H200 artificial intelligence (AI) chips in China signals a calculated shift to export older technology, according to analysts who see the move as aiming to fortify the US market share while dampening China’s urgency for self-reliance.
But some predict an ongoing policy tug of war in the US between advocates of this week’s relaxation and those who prefer continued tight restrictions on hi-tech gear shipped to China.
Trump said on Monday...
Tech war: China’s AI developers to welcome Nvidia’s H200 chip shipments, analysts say
China’s artificial intelligence developers are expected to welcome Washington’s go-ahead for Nvidia to ship its H200 AI chips to approved customers on the mainland, according to analysts, even as Beijing continues to drive the country’s tech self-sufficiency efforts.
In a post on his Truth Social platform on Monday, US President Donald Trump said he had informed his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, of that decision “under conditions that allow for continued strong national security”. Xi had...
‘China threat’ narrative a ‘complete mislabelling’, Jin Keyu says
A prominent economist has dismissed the “China threat” phenomenon as a “complete mislabelling”, arguing that the country has instead supported the global diffusion of technology by significantly lowering costs through production at scale.
Speaking at a summit on Tuesday, Jin Keyu – a professor of finance at the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology – also said China’s proposals for its next five-year plan indicate Beijing recognises the need to rebalance its economy and better harmonise...
